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Prediction markets

15 active markets · category “Science”

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How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

≤6
1%YesNo
7
1%YesNo
$59KVol. Jul 19science
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

John Pardon
John Pardon97%
Jacob Tsimerman
Jacob Tsimerman97%9 more
$678KVol. Jul 30science
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest
1st hottest86%
3rd hottest
3rd hottest9%2 more
$79KVol. Jul 31science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

0
1%YesNo
1
84%YesNo
$29KVol. Jul 19science
Precipitation in NYC in July?

Precipitation in NYC in July?

3-4"
3-4"40%
4-5"
4-5"37%4 more
$21KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

425-450mm
425-450mm29%
450-475mm
450-475mm26%8 more
$14KVol. Jul 31science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

August 30
August 3048%
October 31
October 3147%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC83%
1.25–1.29ºC11%4 more
$34KVol. Aug 1science
Precipitation in London in July?

Precipitation in London in July?

<30mm
<30mm85%
70-80mm
70-80mm7%5 more
$5.7KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in Seoul in July?

Precipitation in Seoul in July?

100mm+99%
90-100mm1%6 more
$13KVol. Jul 31science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

4%

chance

YesNo
$119KVol. Mar 31science
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

1800+95%
2000+94%4 more
$20KVol. Jul 31science