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Prediction markets
31 active markets
· category “Economy”
How it works
How to trade
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$400.5M
Vol.
Jan 1
economy
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
81 trading now
US bank failure by July 31?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$95K
Vol.
Jul 31
economy
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA
56%
Apple
32%
26 more
$4.49M
Vol.
Dec 31
economy
Potential payout
$25
→
$45
61 trading now
ECB Interest Rates: July 2026
No change
99%
25 bps Increase
1%
3 more
$412K
Vol.
Jul 23
economy
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
59 trading now
Bank of Mexico Decision in August?
No change
87%
25 bps decrease
10%
3 more
$57K
Vol.
Aug 6
economy
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
39 trading now
Bank of Russia decision in July?
No Change
73%
Decrease
26%
1 more
$205K
Vol.
Jul 24
economy
Potential payout
$25
→
$34
45 trading now
Bank of Korea decision in August?
No Change
72%
25 bps hike
28%
3 more
$9.4K
Vol.
Aug 26
economy
Potential payout
$25
→
$35
45 trading now
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
43%
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
42%
2 more
$40K
Vol.
Jan 31
economy
Potential payout
$25
→
$59
48 trading now
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
800–900B
48%
700–800B
21%
6 more
$24K
Vol.
Feb 28
economy
Potential payout
$25
→
$53
38 trading now
Bank of Brazil decision in August?
25 bps decrease
83%
No Change
17%
3 more
$154K
Vol.
Aug 4
economy
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
43 trading now
South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q2 2026?
3.5–3.9%
73%
3.0–3.4%
24%
6 more
$44K
Vol.
Jul 23
economy
Potential payout
$25
→
$34
43 trading now
Trump signs housing bill by end of July?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$44K
Vol.
Jul 31
economy
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
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